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Apollon Kalythion vs Aris Petroupolis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Apollon Kalythion and Aris Petroupolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Apollon Kalythion
20%
Draws
51%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aris Petroupolis a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 19%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalythion Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.29 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Apollon Kalythion vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Apollon Kalythion
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalythion 28 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalythion Aris Petroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Apollon Kalythion's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aris Petroupolis has conceded goals in 32% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Apollon Kalythion stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalythion VS Aris Petroupolis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Kalythion

(Home)
04 Oct
Doxa Vyronas
1 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Doxa Vyronas
0 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
Page 1 of 6

Aris Petroupolis

(Away)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)