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Apollon Kalythion vs Aris Petroupolis

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 game between Apollon Kalythion and Aris Petroupolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Apollon Kalythion
44%
Draws
20%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 19%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Kalythion Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.71 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Apollon Kalythion vs Aris Petroupolis
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Apollon Kalythion
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Kalythion 36 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Kalythion Aris Petroupolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Apollon Kalythion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Apollon Kalythion scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Aris Petroupolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 35% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Kalythion VS Aris Petroupolis
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aris Petroupolis22156136:1151
2Nea Artaki22138126:847
3Diagoras FC2298528:1535
4AO Karystou2298522:1235
5Afantou2295825:2432
6Asteras Kaisarianis2295832:2632
7Nea Ionia2294923:2331
8Doxa Vyronas2287732:2131
9Apollon Kalythion2294932:3131
10Kentavros Vrilission22831127:3027
11Amarynthiakos22421620:3614
12Rodos2200220:660