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Apollon Limassol vs AEL Limassol

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Brown M.
15' Event
Singh L.
16'
Fernandes da Conceicao S. E.

AI Match Summary

Apollon Limassol in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apollon Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Apollon Limassol
33%
Draws
27%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Apollon Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Limassol have won more games recently than AEL Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Apollon Limassol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Apollon Limassol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Limassol AEL Limassol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEL Limassol
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
2:2
Jan 2, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEL Limassol
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEL Limassol
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apollon Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaspar B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Limassol 50 / 100
AEL Limassol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Limassol AEL Limassol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Limassol scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

AEL Limassol has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Apollon Limassol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Limassol VS AEL Limassol
1.63 Goals Scored 1.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia26194363:1761
2AEK Larnaca26165549:2253
3Apollon Limassol26165536:2253
4Pafos26163753:2451
5APOEL26136745:2745
6Aris Limassol26127748:2643
7Omonia Aradippou261041223:3134
8AEL Limassol261031331:3833
9Anorthosis26711823:3332
10Krasava26841426:3628
11Ol. Nicosia266101022:3728
12Akritas Chloraka26751423:4826
13Achnas26721725:4423
14Paralimni2601255:671