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Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Paralimniou host Kavala in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kavala have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Apollon Paralimniou have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Apollon Paralimniou have won 0 to Kavala's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2024, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.06) point toward Kavala. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Apollon Paralimniou
30%
Draws
41%
Kavala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kavala come out ahead of Apollon Paralimniou on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kavala have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Apollon Paralimniou Clean Sheet 20%
Kavala Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Paralimniou Kavala
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Apollon Paralimniou
3:1
Apr 30, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Apollon Paralimniou
3:0
Feb 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Apollon Paralimniou vs Kavala
0:1
Jan 13, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Apollon Paralimniou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Paralimniou 36 / 100
Kavala 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Paralimniou Kavala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Paralimniou scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Kavala has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Apollon Paralimniou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Paralimniou VS Kavala
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Paralimniou

(Home)
10 Oct
Doxa Dramas
2 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
27 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
1 : 0
Alexandroupoli FC
16 Apr
Krya Vrysi
1 : 1
Apollon Paralimniou
12 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 2
Panthrakikos
06 Apr
Apollon Paralimniou
0 : 0
Evosmou
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Kavala

(Away)
10 Oct
Thrakis
0 : 1
Kavala
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xanthi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Kavala 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Doxa Dramas 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
5 Eleftheroupolis 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Sidirochori 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Apollon Paralimniou 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Aetos Ofryniou 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
9 Pontion Nea Amisos 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
10 Thrakis 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)