Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 Georgios Kamaras Stadium

Apollon Smyrnis

0 - 1

Ellopiakos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Apollon Smyrnis

22%

Draws

18%

Ellopiakos

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Ellopiakos have won more games recently than Apollon Smyrnis.
Model gives Apollon Smyrnis a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 68%

Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apollon Smyrnis	Ellopiakos
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	9	9
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.38	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Apollon Smyrnis vs Ellopiakos

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Dec 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Ellopiakos vs Apollon Smyrnis

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 68 / 100

Ellopiakos 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apollon Smyrnis Ellopiakos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMY Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Smyrnis scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ellopiakos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Apollon Smyrnis has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS Ellopiakos

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panionios	34	26	6	2	81:22	84
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	34	20	12	2	61:19	72
3	Almyros Gaziou	34	17	12	5	59:28	63
4	Aris Petroupolis	34	18	6	10	47:38	60
5	AO Ilisiakos	34	16	9	9	43:29	57
6	Ipato	34	14	9	11	45:34	51
7	Atsalenios FC	34	14	8	12	41:33	50
8	Agios Nikolaos	34	14	10	10	55:38	49
9	Chaidari	34	13	10	11	39:29	49
10	Ellopiakos	34	13	9	12	45:43	48
11	AO Proodeftiki	34	14	6	14	47:38	48
12	Apollon Smyrnis	34	10	12	12	39:37	42
13	Ermis Zonianon	34	9	10	15	36:54	37
14	Episkopi	34	9	10	15	40:54	37
15	Peramaikos	34	9	3	22	32:58	30
16	Fostiras	34	6	13	15	29:40	28
17	Paraskevi	34	5	5	24	26:82	17
18	Atromitos Piraeus	34	3	2	29	16:105	11