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Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 Georgios Kamaras Stadium, Athens
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis host Ethnikos Piraeus in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Apollon Smyrnis at 1.26 goals for, 0.9 against; Ethnikos Piraeus at 1.16 for, 0.55 against. Past meetings favor Ethnikos Piraeus slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 0.44) point toward Ethnikos Piraeus. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Apollon Smyrnis
15%
Draws
37%
Ethnikos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Smyrnis haven't matched Ethnikos Piraeus's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Apollon Smyrnis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 20%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Smyrnis Ethnikos Piraeus
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.26 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
3:0
Dec 20, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:1
May 14, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1
Apollon Smyrnis vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:1
Jan 22, 2006 Football League 2 - Group 1
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0
May 19, 1999 Super League
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Apollon Smyrnis
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 49 / 100
Ethnikos Piraeus 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Smyrnis Ethnikos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Apollon Smyrnis scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Apollon Smyrnis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ethnikos Piraeus let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS Ethnikos Piraeus
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Smyrnis

(Home)
11 Oct
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
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Ethnikos Piraeus

(Away)
11 Oct
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
04 Oct
Ethnikos Piraeus
1 : 1
Amfiali
27 Sept
PAO Rouf
0 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Doxa Vyronas 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
3 Afantou 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
4 Apollon Smyrnis 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Ethnikos Piraeus 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
6 PAO Rouf 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
7 Amfiali 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 AO Proodeftiki 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
9 Apollon Kalythion 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
10 Ionikos 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
11 Diagoras FC 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
12 Ialisos 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)