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Apollon Smyrnis vs PAE Egaleo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 Georgios Kamaras Stadium, Athens
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apollon Smyrnis host PAE Egaleo in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Apollon Smyrnis have averaged 1.26 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against PAE Egaleo's 1.13 scored and 1.23 conceded. Past meetings favor PAE Egaleo slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.69) point toward Apollon Smyrnis. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Apollon Smyrnis
15%
Draws
49%
PAE Egaleo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • PAE Egaleo have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Apollon Smyrnis are scoring more at 1.26.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 20%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Smyrnis PAE Egaleo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2023 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0
Jan 8, 2023 Super League 2
Apollon Smyrnis vs PAE Egaleo
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Club Friendly
PAE Egaleo vs Apollon Smyrnis
1:1
Mar 10, 2001 Football League
PAE Egaleo vs Apollon Smyrnis
5:2
Jan 23, 2001 Greek Cup
PAE Egaleo vs Apollon Smyrnis
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 32 / 100
PAE Egaleo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Smyrnis PAE Egaleo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apollon Smyrnis's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

PAE Egaleo has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Apollon Smyrnis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS PAE Egaleo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Smyrnis

(Home)
11 Oct
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
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PAE Egaleo

(Away)
11 Oct
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
04 Oct
Ialisos
0 : 1
PAE Egaleo
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Doxa Vyronas 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
3 Afantou 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
4 Apollon Smyrnis 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Ethnikos Piraeus 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
6 PAO Rouf 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
7 Amfiali 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 AO Proodeftiki 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
9 Apollon Kalythion 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
10 Ionikos 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
11 Diagoras FC 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
12 Ialisos 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)