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Apollon Smyrnis vs Peramaikos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Apollon Smyrnis and Peramaikos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Apollon Smyrnis
11%
Draws
9%
Peramaikos
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Apollon Smyrnis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Apollon Smyrnis a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 68%
Peramaikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Smyrnis Peramaikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Peramaikos
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Peramaikos vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 86 / 100
Peramaikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Smyrnis Peramaikos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peramaikos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Apollon Smyrnis scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Peramaikos registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS Peramaikos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panionios34266281:2284
2Ethnikos Piraeus342012261:1972
3Almyros Gaziou341712559:2863
4Aris Petroupolis341861047:3860
5AO Ilisiakos34169943:2957
6Ipato341491145:3451
7Atsalenios FC341481241:3350
8Agios Nikolaos3414101055:3849
9Chaidari3413101139:2949
10Ellopiakos341391245:4348
11AO Proodeftiki341461447:3848
12Apollon Smyrnis3410121239:3742
13Ermis Zonianon349101536:5437
14Episkopi349101540:5437
15Peramaikos34932232:5830
16Fostiras346131529:4028
17Paraskevi34552426:8217
18Atromitos Piraeus34322916:10511