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Stadium Background

Apollon Smyrnis vs Peramaikos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 Georgios Kamaras Stadium, Athens
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Apollon Smyrnis and Peramaikos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apollon Smyrnis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Apollon Smyrnis
15%
Draws
21%
Peramaikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Apollon Smyrnis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Apollon Smyrnis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Apollon Smyrnis a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Apollon Smyrnis Clean Sheet 68%
Peramaikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apollon Smyrnis Peramaikos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Apollon Smyrnis vs Peramaikos
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Peramaikos vs Apollon Smyrnis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apollon Smyrnis 86 / 100
Peramaikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apollon Smyrnis Peramaikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apollon Smyrnis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peramaikos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Apollon Smyrnis scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Apollon Smyrnis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Peramaikos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apollon Smyrnis VS Peramaikos
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Apollon Smyrnis

(Home)
04 Oct
Apollon Smyrnis
1 : 0
AO Proodeftiki
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ethnikos Piraeus
3 : 0
Apollon Smyrnis
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

Peramaikos

(Away)
28 Apr
Peramaikos
0 : 2
Atsalenios FC
24 Apr
Fostiras
1 : 3
Peramaikos
20 Apr
Peramaikos
1 : 3
Agios Nikolaos
14 Apr
AO Ilisiakos
2 : 1
Peramaikos
06 Apr
Peramaikos
1 : 2
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)