Sport Picks
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
Albania
Albanian Cup Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier 
Match Events
5'
5'
Umejiego M. A.
11'
11'
Umejiego M. A.
66'
66'
Umejiego M. A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Apolonia Fier advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apolonia Fier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Apolonia Fier carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 90%.
- Apolonia Fier have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Apolonia Fier, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Apolonia Fier have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apolonia Fier | Beselidhja Lezha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.25 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:1
Dec 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Albanian Cup
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Apolonia Fier Compare
Top Goalscorer Umejiego M. A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13
Beselidhja Lezha Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apolonia Fier 95 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apolonia Fier Beselidhja Lezha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Beselidhja Lezha let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Beselidhja Lezha lost 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Apolonia Fier's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Apolonia Fier VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Apolonia Fier
(Home) 03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
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03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
21 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 0 Lushnja
14 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
28 Feb
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Pogradeci
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Beselidhja Lezha
(Away) 15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 AF Elbasani
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
07 May
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
23 Apr
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1 Beselidhja Lezha
01 Apr
Burreli
0 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca5
Basania FC2
Iliria Kruja5
Luzi1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje5
Shkumbini Peqin0
Kukesi3
Terbuni Puka1
Bylis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Laci3
Kelcyra0
AF Luftetari2
KF Oriku0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Delvina0
Korabi Peshkopi4
Koplik1
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Maliqi2
Erzeni Shijak0
Librazhd2
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Beselidhja Lezha0
Lushnja2
Butrinti Sarande1
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari5
Kucove0
KF Valbona-
Tomori Berat-
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Burreli3
Albanet1
Kastrioti3
KS Devolli2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca4
Iliria Kruja2
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Besa Kavaje3
Kukesi1
Bylis-
TBD-
Laci2
AF Luftetari0
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Pogradeci4
Korabi Peshkopi3
Teuta-
TBD-
Vora2
Librazhd1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Lushnja2
AF Elbasani-
TBD-
Flamurtari9
Tomori Berat0
Partizani-
TBD-
Burreli5
Kastrioti2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana2
Skenderbeu Korca1
Dinamo Tirana3
Besa Kavaje0
Bylis3
Laci2
Vllaznia1
Pogradeci0
Teuta2
Vora0
KF Egnatia1
Apolonia Fier0
AF Elbasani2
Flamurtari1
Partizani3
Burreli0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana0
Dinamo Tirana4
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Teuta1
KF Egnatia2
AF Elbasani3
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Dinamo Tirana2
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia3
AF Elbasani2
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2