Sport Picks

Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu

Match Events

11'

Xhabafti K.

43'

Umejiego M. A.

(Penalty)

68'

Maksuti E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier host KF Valbona in the Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Apolonia Fier have averaged 0.25 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against KF Valbona's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Apolonia Fier have won 1 to KF Valbona's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.72 xG vs 1.31) point toward Apolonia Fier. Apolonia Fier in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Apolonia Fier

20%

Draws

38%

KF Valbona

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Apolonia Fier has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to KF Valbona.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Apolonia Fier.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 18%

KF Valbona Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apolonia Fier	KF Valbona
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	11	3
Draws	10	6
Losses	18	21
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs KF Valbona

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Jan 11, 2025 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs KF Valbona

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Oct 5, 2024 Kategoria e Parë

KF Valbona vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksuti E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

KF Valbona Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhabafti K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 41 / 100

KF Valbona 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apolonia Fier KF Valbona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier scored in 62% of their last 39 games.

KF Valbona let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Apolonia Fier went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

KF Valbona lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vora	33	24	4	5	55:24	76
2	Flamurtari	33	23	6	4	62:21	75
3	Besa Kavaje	33	22	8	3	54:18	74
4	Burreli	33	16	10	7	36:22	58
5	Pogradeci	33	14	7	12	33:35	49
6	Apolonia Fier	33	11	12	10	45:32	45
7	Lushnja	33	13	5	15	39:41	44
8	Korabi Peshkopi	33	12	5	16	35:48	41
9	Kastrioti	33	11	5	17	35:49	38
10	Kukesi	33	8	4	21	29:56	28
11	KF Valbona	33	3	7	23	29:59	16
12	Erzeni Shijak	33	2	5	26	16:63	11