Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Apolonia Fier vs Librazhd

Albania Albania

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Apolonia Fier
20%
Draws
60%
Librazhd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Librazhd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier have won more games recently than Librazhd.
  • Model gives Apolonia Fier a 20% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%
Librazhd Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Apolonia Fier Librazhd
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Librazhd
2:1
Mar 11, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
Nov 26, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Librazhd
3:2
Sep 24, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Apr 23, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Librazhd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 47 / 100
Librazhd 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Apolonia Fier Librazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apolonia Fier found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (43 games).

Librazhd let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Librazhd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS Librazhd
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Apolonia Fier

(Home)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 9

Librazhd

(Away)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1
Librazhd
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Librazhd
16 Oct
Burreli
4 : 0
Librazhd
18 Oct
Besa Kavaje
3 : 2
Librazhd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iliria Kruja 8 4 1 3 10:10 20
2 Kastrioti 8 3 0 5 9:11 20
3 Besa Kavaje 8 3 2 3 8:8 20
4 Terbuni Puka 8 4 2 2 7:5 19
5 Mamurrasi 8 3 1 4 8:8 17
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apolonia Fier 8 4 3 1 17:9 26
2 Turbina Cerrik 8 3 2 3 13:12 22
3 Dinamo City 8 2 4 2 6:8 19
4 Librazhd 8 2 3 3 8:9 17
5 KF Elbasani 8 1 4 3 11:17 15
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)