Sport Picks
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier 
AI Match Summary
The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Apolonia Fier and Lushnja finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lushnja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Apolonia Fier's 1 goals per match outpaces what Lushnja have produced (0.87).
- Model gives Apolonia Fier a 23% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apolonia Fier | Lushnja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apolonia Fier 50 / 100
Lushnja 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apolonia Fier Lushnja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Apolonia Fier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lushnja has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Lushnja registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Apolonia Fier scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Apolonia Fier VS Lushnja
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Apolonia Fier
(Home) 03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
21 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 0 Lushnja
14 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
28 Feb
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Pogradeci
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Lushnja
(Away) 03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0 Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0 Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1 Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0 Lushnja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0 Lushnja
21 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 0 Lushnja
18 Mar
Kukesi
3 : 2 Lushnja
07 Mar
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 0 Lushnja
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laci | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 60:23 | 79 |
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korca | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 57:25 | 77 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | 26 |
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)
