Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2019/2020

Apolonia Fier

5 - 1

Shenkolli

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier in this First Division 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Apolonia Fier

Draws

Shenkolli

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Apolonia Fier have won more games recently than Shenkolli.
Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular First Division 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Apolonia Fier here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 68%

Shenkolli Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Apolonia Fier	Shenkolli
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	10	3
Draws	8	10
Losses	20	17
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Shenkolli

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 4 - 4

5:1

Oct 19, 2019 Kategoria e Parë

Shenkolli vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Dec 9, 2017 Kategoria e Parë

Shenkolli vs Apolonia Fier

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Sep 16, 2017 Kategoria e Parë

Apolonia Fier vs Shenkolli

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Apolonia Fier 95 / 100

Shenkolli 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Apolonia Fier Shenkolli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenkolli has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Shenkolli's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Apolonia Fier's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Apolonia Fier VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kastrioti	16	11	4	1	19:4	37
2	Beselidhja Lezha	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Erzeni Shijak	16	7	4	5	18:10	25
4	Korabi Peshkopi	16	8	1	7	16:15	25
5	Burreli	16	6	6	4	17:16	24
6	KF Egnatia	16	4	7	5	14:13	19
7	Terbuni Puka	16	3	6	7	11:16	15
8	Koplik	16	3	4	9	11:22	13
9	Dinamo Tirana	16	3	2	11	9:26	11
10	Shkumbini Peqin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogradeci	18	12	3	3	30:15	39
2	Apolonia Fier	18	11	4	3	36:14	37
3	Lushnja	18	11	2	5	30:18	35
4	Besa Kavaje	18	8	3	7	28:24	27
5	KF Oriku	18	6	6	6	12:15	24
6	KS Devolli	18	7	3	8	29:30	24
7	Iliria Kruja	18	4	6	8	18:23	18
8	Shenkolli	18	3	8	7	17:28	17
9	Turbina Cerrik	18	4	4	10	14:26	16
10	KF Elbasani	18	4	1	13	14:35	13