Sport Picks

Stadium Background

APR vs Etoile de L'Est

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024 Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kategaya E.

AI Match Summary

APR in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored APR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
APR
15%
Draws
21%
Etoile de L'Est
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Etoile de L'Est haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • APR have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Etoile de L'Est
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.8 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Etoile de L'Est
1:0
Sep 2, 2023 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs APR
0:1
May 1, 2022 Premier League
APR vs Etoile de L'Est
3:1
Dec 22, 2021 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs APR
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APR Compare

Top Goalscorer Kategaya E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Etoile de L'Est Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 95 / 100
Etoile de L'Est 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Etoile de L'Est

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Etoile de L'Est conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Etoile de L'Est
2.13 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 6

Etoile de L'Est

(Away)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)