Sport Picks

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APR vs Kiyovu

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
APR
20%
Draws
38%
Kiyovu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kiyovu haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • Model gives APR a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Kiyovu
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Kiyovu
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs APR
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs APR
1:2
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Kiyovu
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Kiyovu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 51 / 100
Kiyovu 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Kiyovu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Kiyovu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Kiyovu
2.13 Goals Scored 0.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.29
100% Over 1.5 29%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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Kiyovu

(Away)
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Kiyovu
1 : 1
Muhanga
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
05 May
Amagaju
0 : 1
Kiyovu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)