Sport Picks

Stadium Background

APR vs Kiyovu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

APR host Kiyovu in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Kiyovu have shipped 0.59 goals a game lately, while APR have conceded 0.91 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, APR have won 3 to Kiyovu's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.81, favoring APR. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
APR
15%
Draws
36%
Kiyovu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and APR come out ahead of Kiyovu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans APR's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
APR Clean Sheet 20%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Kiyovu
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 24 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
APR vs Kiyovu
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs APR
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs APR
1:2
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Kiyovu
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
APR vs Kiyovu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 58 / 100
Kiyovu 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Kiyovu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

APR has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kiyovu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Kiyovu
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 13%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 7

Kiyovu

(Away)
15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
7 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
12 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
13 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)