Sport Picks

Stadium Background

APR vs Rayon Sport

Rwanda Rwanda

Peace Cup Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Sat, May 23, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
APR
30%
Draws
23%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • APR have won more games recently than Rayon Sport.
  • Model gives APR a 47% chance of winning this.
  • APR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and APR have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
APR Clean Sheet 68%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Rayon Sport
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 17
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.81 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Peace Cup
APR vs Rayon Sport
2:1
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs APR
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super Cup
APR vs Rayon Sport
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Rayon Sport
3:0
May 4, 2025 Peace Cup
Rayon Sport vs APR
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 95 / 100
Rayon Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: APR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rayon Sport let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Rayon Sport
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bugesera 1
Etincelles 2
Gasogi United 1
APR 4
Gorilla 2
Kigali FC 2
Police 0
Rayon Sport 1
Semi-finals
Etincelles 2
APR 6
Gorilla 1
Rayon Sport 1
Final
APR 2
Rayon Sport 1
Etincelles 1
Gorilla 6