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APR vs Vipers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Traore M.
38' Event
Mulongo G.
60' Event
Ouattara Dj.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
APR
20%
Draws
24%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • APR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on APR taking it.
  • APR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
APR Clean Sheet 20%
Vipers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APR Vipers
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 1.79 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
APR vs Vipers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APR Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara Dj.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulongo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APR 40 / 100
Vipers 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APR Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

APR went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vipers conceded in 42% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

APR VS Vipers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APR

(Home)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 6

Vipers

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
2 Vipers 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 APR 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
4 Garde Republicaine 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamus 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Simba 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Singida Black Stars 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Mogadishu City 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayon Sport 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Al Hilal Omdurman 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Tusker 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 KVZ 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams