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APS Bomet vs 3K FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

APS Bomet host 3K FC in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. 3K FC have shipped 0.7 goals a game lately, while APS Bomet have conceded 0.92 and scored 1.08. Past meetings favor APS Bomet slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.56, favoring 3K FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
APS Bomet
35%
Draws
29%
3K FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • APS Bomet haven't matched 3K FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans APS Bomet's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 20%
3K FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APS Bomet 3K FC
Matches Played 24 23
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.08 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs 3K FC
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
APS Bomet vs 3K FC
3:2
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
3K FC vs APS Bomet
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APS Bomet 42 / 100
3K FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APS Bomet 3K FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APS Bomet went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: APS Bomet scored in 71% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

3K FC has conceded goals in 57% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

APS Bomet VS 3K FC
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

APS Bomet

(Home)
10 Oct
Mathare United
0 : 0
APS Bomet
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
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3K FC

(Away)
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3
3K FC
01 Jun
3K FC
3 : 2
Talanta FC
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)