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APS Bomet vs Leopards

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Wasai P.
63' Event
Wasai P.
87' Event
Odhiambo D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

APS Bomet in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APS Bomet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
APS Bomet
11%
Draws
9%
Leopards
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • APS Bomet haven't matched Leopards's recent run of results.
  • APS Bomet are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 20%
Leopards Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APS Bomet Leopards
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Leopards
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs APS Bomet
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Leopards vs APS Bomet
0:0
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Leopards
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasai P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leopards Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APS Bomet 76 / 100
Leopards 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APS Bomet Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: APS Bomet remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

APS Bomet scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Leopards has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

APS Bomet VS Leopards
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APS Bomet

(Home)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

Leopards

(Away)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)