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APS Bomet vs Leopards

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Wasai P.
63' Event
Wasai P.
87' Event
Odhiambo D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

APS Bomet in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored APS Bomet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
APS Bomet
15%
Draws
35%
Leopards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • APS Bomet haven't matched Leopards's recent run of results.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 20%
Leopards Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APS Bomet Leopards
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Leopards
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs APS Bomet
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Leopards vs APS Bomet
0:0
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Leopards
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasai P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Leopards Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APS Bomet 31 / 100
Leopards 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APS Bomet Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APS Bomet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: APS Bomet remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

APS Bomet scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Leopards has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

APS Bomet VS Leopards
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APS Bomet

(Home)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
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Leopards

(Away)
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)