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APS Bomet vs Migori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

APS Bomet host Migori in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: APS Bomet at 1.04 goals for, 0.83 against; Migori at 1.48 for, 0.57 against. Head-to-head, APS Bomet have won 1 to Migori's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 0.38, favoring Migori. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
APS Bomet
35%
Draws
34%
Migori
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • APS Bomet haven't matched Migori's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on APS Bomet taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 20%
Migori Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric APS Bomet Migori
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.04 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Super League
Migori vs APS Bomet
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
APS Bomet vs Migori
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Super League
Migori vs APS Bomet
0:0
May 2, 2022 Super League
Migori vs APS Bomet
2:0
Dec 19, 2021 Super League
APS Bomet vs Migori
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

APS Bomet 36 / 100
Migori 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
APS Bomet Migori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APS Bomet scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: APS Bomet remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Migori conceded in 48% of 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

APS Bomet VS Migori
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

APS Bomet

(Home)
17 Oct
APS Bomet
0 : 1
Mahia
10 Oct
Mathare United
0 : 0
APS Bomet
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
Page 1 of 5

Migori

(Away)
24 Oct
Migori
0 : 0
Mathare United
11 Oct
Migori
1 : 1
Police FC
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1
Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1
Migori
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mara Sugar 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
3 Leopards 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Shabana 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 KCB 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Muranga 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Posta Rangers 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
10 3K FC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 Nairobi United 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Bandari 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Migori 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Police FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Mathare United 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 APS Bomet 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
17 Ulinzi Stars 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 Mombasa United 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)