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Aqaba vs Al Ahli

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mohammad A.
48' Event
Wishah A.
65' Event
Dahshan Y.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Aqaba and Al Ahli finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aqaba
20%
Draws
40%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli come out ahead of Aqaba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ahli a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Aqaba Clean Sheet 24%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aqaba Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Aqaba
0:0
Oct 17, 2024 Premier League
Aqaba vs Al Ahli
1:3
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Aqaba
1:2
Aug 10, 2023 Premier League
Aqaba vs Al Ahli
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Aqaba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aqaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Wishah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahshan Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aqaba 17 / 100
Al Ahli 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aqaba Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aqaba scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Ahli conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Aqaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ahli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aqaba

(Home)
08 Nov
Aqaba
0 : 2
Al Jazeera Amman
20 Oct
Aqaba
2 : 1
Umm Al-Qutain
01 May
Aqaba
1 : 1
Al Jazeera Amman
26 Apr
Al Hussein
6 : 0
Aqaba
17 Apr
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 3
Aqaba
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Al Ahli

(Away)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al-Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 16 5 1 53:15 53
2 Al Wehdat 22 16 4 2 47:18 52
3 Al-Faisaly Amman 22 9 12 1 30:16 39
4 Al Ramtha 22 9 6 7 26:23 33
5 Al Salt 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
6 Al Jazeera Amman 22 8 6 8 33:29 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 5 10 24:32 26
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 4 11 28:33 25
9 Al Sareeh 22 4 9 9 26:33 21
10 Aqaba 22 5 5 12 23:47 20
11 Maan 22 5 3 14 20:39 18
12 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 3 4 15 16:44 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Qualification)