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Aqaba vs Al Sareeh

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Dawhda Q.
79' Event
Rafiqo A.
87' Event
Arqibat O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Aqaba and Al Sareeh finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aqaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aqaba
35%
Draws
30%
Al Sareeh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Al Sareeh's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Aqaba have produced (1).
  • Model gives Al Sareeh a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aqaba Clean Sheet 16%
Al Sareeh Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aqaba Al Sareeh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
Aqaba vs Al Sareeh
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Al Sareeh vs Aqaba
5:1
Sep 30, 2022 Premier League
Aqaba vs Al Sareeh
0:2
Jul 7, 2022 Premier League
Al Sareeh vs Aqaba
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 Shield Cup
Aqaba vs Al Sareeh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aqaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawhda Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafiqo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Sareeh Compare

Top Goalscorer Arqibat O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aqaba 10 / 100
Al Sareeh 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aqaba Al Sareeh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sareeh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aqaba scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Sareeh conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Aqaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aqaba VS Al Sareeh
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aqaba

(Home)
08 Nov
Aqaba
0 : 2
Al Jazeera Amman
20 Oct
Aqaba
2 : 1
Umm Al-Qutain
01 May
Aqaba
1 : 1
Al Jazeera Amman
26 Apr
Al Hussein
6 : 0
Aqaba
17 Apr
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 3
Aqaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Sareeh

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Al Sareeh
19 Oct
Al Sareeh
1 : 0
Doqarah
02 May
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Al Sareeh
25 Apr
Al Sareeh
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly Amman
19 Apr
Al Salt
0 : 0
Al Sareeh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 16 5 1 53:15 53
2 Al Wehdat 22 16 4 2 47:18 52
3 Al-Faisaly Amman 22 9 12 1 30:16 39
4 Al Ramtha 22 9 6 7 26:23 33
5 Al Salt 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
6 Al Jazeera Amman 22 8 6 8 33:29 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 5 10 24:32 26
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 4 11 28:33 25
9 Al Sareeh 22 4 9 9 26:33 21
10 Aqaba 22 5 5 12 23:47 20
11 Maan 22 5 3 14 20:39 18
12 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 3 4 15 16:44 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Qualification)