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Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Aquidauanense Logo

Aquidauanense

1 - 0
FT
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 game between Aquidauanense and Comercial MS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aquidauanense
15%
Draws
34%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aquidauanense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aquidauanense's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aquidauanense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Comercial MS
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS
1:0
May 23, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS
2:0
May 6, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Aquidauanense
0:3
Dec 16, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS
3:2
Dec 13, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Aquidauanense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 42 / 100
Comercial MS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Aquidauanense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aquidauanense scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Comercial MS
1.57 Goals Scored 1.13
0.57 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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