Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2

Aquidauanense

1 - 0

Comercial MS

Our Tip

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 game between Aquidauanense and Comercial MS finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Aquidauanense

33%

Draws

40%

Comercial MS

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Aquidauanense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Comercial MS.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Comercial MS.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense 2 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 20%

Comercial MS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aquidauanense	Comercial MS
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	13	6
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0.83	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.83	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.17	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

May 23, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

May 6, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Comercial MS vs Aquidauanense

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

0:3

Dec 16, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense

Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Dec 13, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense

Comercial MS vs Aquidauanense

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 28 / 100

Comercial MS 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aquidauanense Comercial MS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Comercial MS let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Aquidauanense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Comercial MS lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Comercial MS

0.83 Goals Scored 1.25

1.17 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 75%

17% Over 2.5 63%

17% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aquidauanense	4	3	0	1	4:2	9
2	Uniao ABC	4	2	1	1	6:2	7
3	Comercial MS	4	2	1	1	6:4	7
4	Misto	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
5	7 de Setembro	4	1	1	2	5:6	4
6	Sao Gabriel MS	4	1	1	2	3:5	4
7	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	3	1	0	2	2:3	3
8	EC Campo Grande	3	0	1	2	1:6	1