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Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lyncon F.
45' Event
Fernandinho
45' Event
Thiaguinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Aquidauanense and Ivinhema finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Aquidauanense
20%
Draws
20%
Ivinhema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Aquidauanense haven't matched Ivinhema's recent run of results.
  • Aquidauanense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 20%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Ivinhema
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Aquidauanense
3:2
Feb 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Aquidauanense
5:0
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquidauanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyncon F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ivinhema Compare

Top Goalscorer Elieser
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 85 / 100
Ivinhema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Ivinhema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema has conceded goals in 82% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aquidauanense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aquidauanense scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS Ivinhema
1.57 Goals Scored 0.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 6

Ivinhema

(Away)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)