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Aquidauanense vs Ponta Pora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Aquidauanense Logo

Aquidauanense

2 - 1
FT
Ponta Pora Logo

Ponta Pora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Aquidauanense and Ponta Pora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquidauanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Aquidauanense
15%
Draws
14%
Ponta Pora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Ponta Pora haven't matched Aquidauanense's recent run of results.
  • Aquidauanense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 16%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquidauanense Ponta Pora
Matches Played 34 9
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.47 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ponta Pora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquidauanense 84 / 100
Ponta Pora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquidauanense Ponta Pora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquidauanense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Aquidauanense scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Ponta Pora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aquidauanense VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquidauanense

(Home)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 7

Ponta Pora

(Away)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)