Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Di Sabatino E.
88' Event
Infantino S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Aquila Calcio and Notaresco Calcio finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aquila Calcio
44%
Draws
20%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Aquila Calcio have produced (0.75).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquila Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Sabatino E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Infantino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 35 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aquila Calcio scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Notaresco Calcio conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aquila Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Notaresco Calcio
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Ancona
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1
Aquila Calcio
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
02 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ostiamare34247365:2579
2Ancona34237459:2276
3Teramo342111265:2974
4Atletico Ascoli341413755:3555
5Notaresco Calcio341312943:3151
6Aquila Calcio341491153:4451
7Giulianova341116740:3149
8Vigor Senigallia341213945:4049
9Fossombrone3411111228:3444
10Unipomezia3410121243:4242
11Termoli348151127:3039
12Maceratese341151843:4938
13AS Sora349111440:5038
14Recanatese34881839:5732
15San Marino Calcio34871933:6131
16Calcio Chieti348111531:5524
17Castelfidardo34652330:6523
18Sammaurese34572230:6920
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)