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Stadium Background

Aquila Calcio vs Termoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aquila Calcio
30%
Draws
19%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Termoli haven't matched Aquila Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Aquila Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Aquila Calcio have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aquila Calcio, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aquila Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Termoli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.52 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
5:2
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Aquila Calcio
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 85 / 100
Termoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aquila Calcio remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aquila Calcio's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Termoli conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Termoli
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Termoli

(Away)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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TBD -