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Ara vs Ambernath United

India India

I-League 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Singh H.
21' Event
Patil H.
90' Event
Shetty S.

AI Match Summary

Ambernath United in this I-League 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ambernath United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ara
15%
Draws
59%
Ambernath United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambernath United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ambernath United have won more games recently than Ara.
  • Win probability leans Ambernath United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular I-League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ara Clean Sheet 13%
Ambernath United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ara Ambernath United
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 6 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.58 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2023 I-League 2
Ara vs Ambernath United
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 I-League 2
Ambernath United vs Ara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ara Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ambernath United Compare

Top Goalscorer Patil H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shetty S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ara 19 / 100
Ambernath United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ara Ambernath United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ambernath United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ara scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Ambernath United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ara stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ara VS Ambernath United
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ara

(Home)
03 May
Ara
1 : 1
Mawlai SC
01 May
Sunrise Club
2 : 3
Ara
29 Apr
Sikkim Brotherhood
3 : 2
Ara
27 Apr
Raengdai
3 : 0
Ara
27 Apr
Ara
1 : 2
Ambernath United
Page 1 of 3

Ambernath United

(Away)
26 May
Delhi FC
3 : 1
Ambernath United
21 May
United SC
4 : 3
Ambernath United
16 May
Ambernath United
5 : 1
Lajong
11 May
Ambernath United
1 : 0
Bengaluru United
27 Apr
Ara
1 : 2
Ambernath United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Delhi FC 8 5 1 2 20:5 16
2 Downtown Heroes 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Jagat Singh Palahi 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
4 Techtro Swades 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
5 Mumbai City 2 8 0 2 6 4:23 2
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United SC 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Lajong 6 4 1 1 13:3 13
3 East Bengal 2 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Diamond Rock 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru United 8 5 2 1 21:5 17
2 Golden Threads 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
3 Bengaluru FC 2 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Chennaiyin FC 2 8 3 0 5 7:17 9
5 RKM 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ambernath United 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Ara 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Dempo 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 Hyderabad 2 8 1 1 6 4:10 4
5 FC Goa 2 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams