Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Arab Contractors Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Ibrahim H.
36'
Mohsen M.
66'
Sub
Mohsen M. In: Salah R.
Out: Mohsen M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) and El Gouna finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28%
Draws
22%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Gouna come out ahead of Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) El Gouna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 15 12
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
0:1
Apr 3, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:2
Jan 15, 2024 League Cup
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Compare

Top Goalscorer Naguib S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

El Gouna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 59 / 100
El Gouna 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) El Gouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

El Gouna has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) VS El Gouna
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220