Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Amoory A.
28'
Sub
Abed A. In: Tito A.
Out: Abed A.
34'
Hamed M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
33%
Draws
27%
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ghazl El Mahallah haven't matched Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s way, sitting at 40%.
  • Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 68%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Ghazl El Mahallah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 15 14
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1
Jan 5, 2026 League Cup
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:1
Feb 10, 2023 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:3
Oct 20, 2022 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelnasser M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Top Goalscorer Shousha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 50 / 100
Ghazl El Mahallah 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Ghazl El Mahallah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ghazl El Mahallah has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) VS Ghazl El Mahallah
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

(Home)
29 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
3 : 1
Modern Sport
23 May
Kahrabaa Ismailia
2 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
18 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Wadi Degla
13 May
Haras El Hodood
0 : 0
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
08 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 0
El Gouna
Page 1 of 6

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Away)
29 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
4 : 2
Haras El Hodood
23 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
ZED FC
3 : 2
Ghazl El Mahallah
07 May
El Gaish
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams