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Arabe Unido vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Armando Dely Valdes, Colón
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Burgess R.
29'
Mitre R.
41' Event
Walters B.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Arabe Unido and Alianza finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Arabe Unido
20%
Draws
23%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arabe Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arabe Unido come out ahead of Alianza on wins alone.
  • Arabe Unido are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Arabe Unido Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arabe Unido Alianza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Arabe Unido
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Arabe Unido
1:2
Aug 3, 2025 LPF
Arabe Unido vs Alianza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arabe Unido Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Walters B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arabe Unido 51 / 100
Alianza 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arabe Unido Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arabe Unido scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Alianza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Arabe Unido remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arabe Unido VS Alianza
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arabe Unido

(Home)
18 Oct
Plaza Amador
2 : 0
Arabe Unido
04 Oct
Independiente
1 : 1
Arabe Unido
26 Sept
Arabe Unido
2 : 1
Herrera
19 Sept
San Francisco
1 : 2
Arabe Unido
12 Sept
Arabe Unido
4 : 1
Union Cocle
Page 1 of 6

Alianza

(Away)
18 Oct
UMECIT
2 : 1
Alianza
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 12 8 3 1 28:16 27
2 Arabe Unido 12 6 4 2 16:10 22
3 UMECIT 12 5 4 3 12:10 19
4 Tauro 12 5 2 5 18:13 17
5 Alianza 12 3 5 4 12:12 14
6 Sporting San Miguelito 12 3 4 5 12:15 13
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 12 7 2 3 23:14 23
2 Veraguas 12 4 6 2 18:18 18
3 Independiente 12 3 5 4 18:18 14
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 12 2 5 5 10:13 11
5 Herrera 12 3 2 7 12:26 11
6 Union Cocle 12 1 2 9 10:24 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)