Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Aracaju FC and Atletico Central finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aracaju FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Central
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atletico Central carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Atletico Central a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aracaju FC | Atletico Central |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 24 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.5 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Atletico Central vs Aracaju FC
4:2
Sep 5, 2024 Sergipano 2
Aracaju FC vs Atletico Central
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aracaju FC 10 / 100
Atletico Central 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aracaju FC Atletico Central
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Aracaju FC scored in 71% of their last 14 games.
Atletico Central has conceded goals in 75% of their last 24 outings.
Atletico Central lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aracaju FC VS Atletico Central
1 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aracaju FC
(Home) 11 Oct
Socorrense
8 : 2 Aracaju FC
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2 Santa Cruz SE
01 Oct
Socorro
7 : 0 Aracaju FC
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0 Coritiba SE
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1 Aracaju FC
Page 1 of 3
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2 Santa Cruz SE
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0 Coritiba SE
16 Sept
Aracaju FC
1 : 2 Propria
01 Oct
Aracaju FC
1 : 0 Socorro
25 Sept
Aracaju FC
3 : 1 CS Maruinense
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Atletico Central
(Away) 02 Nov
Atletico Central
0 : 4 Atletico Gloriense
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1 Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2 Atletico Central
15 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 0 Atletico Central
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1 Independente SE
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18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2 Atletico Central
15 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 0 Atletico Central
05 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3 Atletico Central
20 Sept
Caninde
3 : 1 Atletico Central
02 Nov
Guarany SE
3 : 1 Atletico Central
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)