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Aracruz vs Conilon

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Aracruz and Conilon finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aracruz
30%
Draws
0%
Conilon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aracruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Conilon haven't matched Aracruz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aracruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 19%
Conilon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aracruz Conilon
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Conilon
1:0
Feb 16, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
1:3
May 5, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Conilon
4:1
Apr 29, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
2:1
Mar 15, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aracruz 85 / 100
Conilon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aracruz Conilon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aracruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Conilon's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aracruz scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aracruz VS Conilon
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aracruz

(Home)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
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Conilon

(Away)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)