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Aragua vs Avila

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Villero M.
41' Event
Rivero V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aragua
20%
Draws
22%
Avila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aragua lately — more wins on the board than Avila.
  • Model gives Aragua a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aragua Clean Sheet 68%
Avila Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Avila
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 9 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.03 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Avila vs Aragua
0:0
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Avila
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Avila vs Aragua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Avila Compare

Top Goalscorer Villero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 95 / 100
Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aragua found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Avila has conceded goals in 65% of their last 23 outings.

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Avila's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Avila
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
29 Aug
Aragua
2 : 0
Dynamo Puerto FC
26 Aug
Aragua
1 : 2
Yaracuyanos
23 Aug
Mineros
1 : 1
Aragua
Page 1 of 6

Avila

(Away)
06 Sept
Mineros
2 : 0
Avila
30 Aug
Bolivar
2 : 1
Avila
23 Aug
Avila
0 : 3
Monagas B
19 Aug
Avila
1 : 0
Deportivo Miranda
16 Aug
Dynamo Puerto FC
3 : 0
Avila
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 24 15 6 3 41:20 51
2 Barquisimeto 25 12 8 5 43:27 44
3 Urena 24 10 9 5 37:26 39
4 Yaracuyanos 24 10 7 7 31:25 37
5 Zamora 2 24 9 7 8 37:33 34
6 Academia Puerto Cabello B 25 8 6 11 31:33 30
7 Atletico Barinas 24 8 3 13 44:53 27
8 Atletico El Vigia 24 7 6 11 27:40 27
9 Real Frontera 24 3 2 19 20:54 11
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 21 11 6 4 35:22 39
2 Deportivo Miranda 21 11 5 5 25:16 38
3 Bolivar 21 11 3 7 26:21 36
4 Aragua 21 8 8 5 22:15 32
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 20 6 7 7 22:22 25
6 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
7 Mineros 21 3 8 10 21:28 17
8 Avila 21 2 10 9 12:24 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)