Sport Picks

Aragua vs Barquisimeto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela

Copa Venezuela

Aragua

0 - 1

Barquisimeto

Our Tip

Match Events

56'

Ramos F.

81'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Aragua

15%

Draws

35%

Barquisimeto

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Barquisimeto haven't matched Aragua's recent run of results.
Model gives Aragua a 50% chance of winning this.
Aragua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Barquisimeto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Aragua Clean Sheet 68%

Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aragua	Barquisimeto
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	10	8
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	1.32	1.55
Goals Conceded	0.82	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Barquisimeto vs Aragua

1:4

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Aragua vs Barquisimeto

0:1

Sep 30, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Aragua vs Barquisimeto

1:2

Aug 14, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Barquisimeto vs Aragua

3:1

May 19, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Aragua vs Barquisimeto

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Barquisimeto Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 86 / 100

Barquisimeto 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aragua Barquisimeto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aragua found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Barquisimeto has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Barquisimeto

2.13 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)

07 Oct

Barquisimeto

1 : 4

Aragua

27 Sept

Aragua

1 : 0

Avila

20 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Aragua

13 Sept

Aragua

2 : 1

Deportivo Miranda

09 Sept

Yaracuyanos

2 : 5

Aragua

Page 1 of 6

Barquisimeto

(Away)

07 Oct

Barquisimeto

1 : 4

Aragua

03 Oct

Barquisimeto

2 : 4

Atletico El Vigia

30 Sept

Atletico Barinas

1 : 2

Barquisimeto

26 Sept

Barquisimeto

3 : 0

Urena

16 Sept

Zamora 2

0 : 2

Barquisimeto

Page 1 of 6