Sport Picks

Aragua vs Yaracuyanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela

Copa Venezuela

Aragua

1 - 2

Yaracuyanos

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

34'

Manrique R.

90'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Aragua

15%

Draws

35%

Yaracuyanos

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Yaracuyanos's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Aragua have produced (1.32).
35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Yaracuyanos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Aragua Clean Sheet 20%

Yaracuyanos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aragua	Yaracuyanos
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	12
Draws	10	6
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.32	1.48
Goals Conceded	0.82	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Yaracuyanos vs Aragua

2:5

Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela

Aragua vs Yaracuyanos

1:2

Nov 2, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Yaracuyanos vs Aragua

1:1

Oct 27, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Aragua vs Yaracuyanos

0:1

Sep 15, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2

Yaracuyanos vs Aragua

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Manrique R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Yaracuyanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 36 / 100

Yaracuyanos 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aragua Yaracuyanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yaracuyanos Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aragua scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Yaracuyanos let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Yaracuyanos

2.13 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)

07 Oct

Barquisimeto

1 : 4

Aragua

27 Sept

Aragua

1 : 0

Avila

20 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Aragua

13 Sept

Aragua

2 : 1

Deportivo Miranda

09 Sept

Yaracuyanos

2 : 5

Aragua

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Yaracuyanos

(Away)

07 Oct

Caracas

1 : 0

Yaracuyanos

04 Oct

Zamora 2

1 : 4

Yaracuyanos

30 Sept

Yaracuyanos

3 : 0

Academia Puerto Cabello B

26 Sept

Real Frontera

0 : 3

Yaracuyanos

19 Sept

Yaracuyanos

0 : 1

Lara

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