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Araguacema vs Colinas

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguacema in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguacema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Araguacema
20%
Draws
10%
Colinas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguacema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Araguacema have won more games recently than Colinas.
  • Model gives Araguacema a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 20%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema Colinas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 0.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguacema vs Colinas
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema 85 / 100
Colinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema Colinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguacema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Araguacema scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Colinas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Araguacema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema VS Colinas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.2
1.63 Goals Conceded 5.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema

(Home)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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Colinas

(Away)
02 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
8 : 0
Colinas
26 Oct
Colinas
0 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguacema
7 : 1
Colinas
12 Oct
SD Sparta
6 : 0
Colinas
15 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Colinas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Interporto 6 3 3 0 16:5 12
3 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Sao Jose (TO) 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
5 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
6 Taquarussu 6 1 0 5 4:21 3
7 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 4:18 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bela Vista-TO 5 4 1 0 17:1 13
2 SD Sparta 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Guarai SC 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Araguacema 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
6 Colinas 4 0 0 4 1:26 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)