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AI Match Summary
Araguaia (TO) host Guarai SC in the Tocantinense 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Guarai SC have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Araguaia (TO) have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Guarai SC slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 0:6. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.31, favoring Guarai SC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guarai SC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Araguaia (TO).
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Tocantinense 2 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Araguaia (TO) | Guarai SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Araguaia (TO) scored in 50% of their last 14 games.
Guarai SC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Araguaia (TO) went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Guarai SC lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Uniao de Palmas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Alvorada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Interporto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 2 |
| 5 | Taquarussu | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:19 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarai SC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Paraiso EC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Central Tocantinense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 |
| 4 | Araguaia (TO) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 |
| 5 | Tocantins | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:12 | 0 |