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Araguaia (TO) vs Guarai SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) Logo

Araguaia (TO)

0 - 3
FT
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2 game between Araguaia (TO) and Guarai SC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Araguaia (TO)
30%
Draws
43%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaia (TO) haven't matched Guarai SC's recent run of results.
  • Guarai SC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 15%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia (TO) Guarai SC
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.35 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.68 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Guarai SC
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Guarai SC
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia (TO) 23 / 100
Guarai SC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia (TO) Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Araguaia (TO)'s goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Guarai SC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Araguaia (TO) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia (TO) VS Guarai SC
1.86 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia (TO)

(Home)
10 Oct
Batalhao
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
03 Oct
Interporto
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
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Guarai SC

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose (TO) 6 4 2 0 23:6 14
2 Interporto 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
3 Guarai SC 5 3 2 0 21:5 11
4 Batalhao 6 3 1 2 19:4 10
5 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
6 Taquarussu 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
7 Paraiso EC 6 1 0 5 5:24 3
8 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)