Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araguaia (TO) vs Palmas

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Palmas in this Tocantinense 2 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Araguaia (TO)
20%
Draws
29%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguaia (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmas have won more games recently than Araguaia (TO).
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Araguaia (TO) taking it.
  • Palmas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 10%
Palmas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia (TO) Palmas
Matches Played 18 36
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Araguaia (TO)
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Palmas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia (TO) 83 / 100
Palmas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia (TO) Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaia (TO) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmas let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Araguaia (TO) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Araguaia (TO)'s goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia (TO) VS Palmas
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia (TO)

(Home)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
15 Nov
Palmas
4 : 0
Araguaia (TO)
Page 1 of 4

Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guarai SC 6
Interporto 2
Alvorada 4
Paraiso EC 2
Palmas 5
Araguaia (TO) 0
Central Tocantinense 4
Uniao de Palmas 5
Semi-finals
Guarai SC 6
Alvorada 5
Palmas 10
Uniao de Palmas 1
Final
Guarai SC 2
Palmas 4