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Araguaia (TO) vs Sao Jose (TO) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Araguaia (TO) Logo

Araguaia (TO)

3 - 0
FT
Sao Jose (TO) Logo

Sao Jose (TO)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2 2024 game between Araguaia (TO) and Sao Jose (TO) finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araguaia (TO).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Araguaia (TO)
15%
Draws
45%
Sao Jose (TO)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose (TO) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia (TO) Sao Jose (TO)
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.56 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Sao Jose (TO)
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia (TO) 30 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia (TO) Sao Jose (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (TO)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Araguaia (TO) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Araguaia (TO)'s goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia (TO) VS Sao Jose (TO)
1 Goals Scored 1.86
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia (TO)

(Home)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
15 Nov
Palmas
4 : 0
Araguaia (TO)
Page 1 of 4

Sao Jose (TO)

(Away)
26 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Batalhao
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
23 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
3 : 0
Sao Jose (TO)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Interporto 6 3 3 0 16:5 12
3 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Sao Jose (TO) 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
5 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
6 Taquarussu 6 1 0 5 4:21 3
7 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 4:18 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bela Vista-TO 5 4 1 0 17:1 13
2 SD Sparta 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Guarai SC 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Araguacema 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
6 Colinas 4 0 0 4 1:26 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)