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Stadium Background

Araguaia (TO) vs Sao Jose (TO)

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2 2024 game between Araguaia (TO) and Sao Jose (TO) finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araguaia (TO).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Araguaia (TO)
11%
Draws
80%
Sao Jose (TO)
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Jose (TO) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose (TO) taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia (TO) Sao Jose (TO)
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Sao Jose (TO)
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia (TO) 12 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia (TO) Sao Jose (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (TO)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Araguaia (TO) scored in 50% of their last 14 outings.

Recent resilience: Araguaia (TO) stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia (TO) VS Sao Jose (TO)
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia (TO)

(Home)
15 Nov
Palmas
4 : 0
Araguaia (TO)
09 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
Palmas
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Oct
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
Central Tocantinense
12 Oct
Paraiso EC
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
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Sao Jose (TO)

(Away)
23 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
3 : 0
Sao Jose (TO)
17 Nov
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
09 Nov
Batalhao
3 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
02 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Sao Jose (TO)
22 Oct
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 0
Taquarussu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batalhao642022:514
2Interporto633016:512
3Araguaia (TO)63219:511
4Sao Jose (TO)632111:1011
5Alvorada62137:97
6Taquarussu61054:213
7Uniao de Palmas60064:180
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bela Vista-TO541017:113
2SD Sparta532010:211
3Guarai SC530212:69
4Araguacema521210:77
5Arsenal (TO)40041:90
6Colinas40041:260
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)