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Araguaia vs Operario VG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2020
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AI Match Summary

Araguaia host Operario VG in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Araguaia have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Operario VG's 1.25 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Operario VG slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.29 - 1.18) back Operario VG to edge this. Operario VG in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Araguaia
44%
Draws
20%
Operario VG
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario VG has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Araguaia.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Matogrossense 2020 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 20%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia Operario VG
Matches Played 30 49
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Operario VG
1:2
Jan 26, 2020 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Operario VG
1:2
Feb 10, 2019 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Araguaia
1:0
Mar 11, 2018 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Operario VG
0:5
Mar 19, 2016 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Araguaia
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia 36 / 100
Operario VG 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia Operario VG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OVG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaia scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Operario VG let in goals in 59% of their last 49 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Araguaia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Operario VG lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario VG
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cuiaba963021:521
2Operario VG953113:418
3Uniao Rondonopolis945013:717
4Sinop FC942318:1514
5Nova Mutum EC93429:613
6Pocone932411:911
7Dom Bosco932413:1611
8Luverdense922511:208
9Mixto92169:197
10Araguaia91084:213