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Araguaia vs Uniao Rondonopolis

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Rondonopolis in this Campeonato Matogrossense 2019 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Araguaia
44%
Draws
20%
Uniao Rondonopolis
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Araguaia haven't matched Uniao Rondonopolis's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Uniao Rondonopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia Uniao Rondonopolis
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia
4:1
Feb 9, 2020 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:1
Mar 29, 2019 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia 36 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia Uniao Rondonopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Rondonopolis conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Araguaia scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Araguaia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uniao Rondonopolis
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia

(Home)
24 Feb
Uniao Rondonopolis
4 : 1
Araguaia
18 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Operario VG
15 Feb
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Araguaia
11 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Mixto
04 Feb
Luverdense
0 : 0
Araguaia
Page 1 of 6

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Away)
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Luverdense1
Sinop FC0
Dom Bosco0
Cuiaba9
Uniao Rondonopolis4
Araguaia1
Mixto0
Operario VG4
Semi-finals
Luverdense0
Cuiaba5
Uniao Rondonopolis0
Operario VG1
Final
Cuiaba4
Operario VG2