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Araguaina U20 vs Araguacema U20

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Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguaina U20 play Araguacema U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Araguaina U20 averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded. Araguacema U20 averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Araguaina U20 won 1, Araguacema U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Araguaina U20 and 0.81 for Araguacema U20. This points to a Araguaina U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Araguaina U20
15%
Draws
33%
Araguacema U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araguaina U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Araguaina U20 picked up more points recently compared to Araguacema U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Araguaina U20 Clean Sheet 26%
Araguacema U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina U20 Araguacema U20
Matches Played 15 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.54
Goals Conceded 1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Araguaina U20 vs Araguacema U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina U20 52 / 100
Araguacema U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina U20 Araguacema U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Araguaina U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Araguaina U20 attacking → ← attacking Araguacema U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina U20 scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Araguacema U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Araguaina U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Araguacema U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 38
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmas U20430114:49
2Araguaia (TO) U20430114:69
3Gurupi U2042028:96
4Uniao de Palmas U2042026:96
5Alvorada U2040042:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Batalhao U20430111:59
2Capital FC U20421117:77
3Interporto U20421110:77
4Taquarussu U20420210:96
5Central Tocantinense U2040042:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araguaina U20440010:212
2SD Sparta U20421110:67
3Guarai SC U2041127:64
4Tocantins U2031026:73
5Araguacema U2030030:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tocantinopolis U2043018:29
2Uniao Carmolandense U2042206:48
3Bela Vista U2042119:57
4Paraiso EC U2041036:83
5Arsenal EC U2040132:121