Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araguaina U20 vs Araguacema U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguaina U20 in this Tocantinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Araguaina U20
20%
Draws
33%
Araguacema U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguaina U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Araguacema U20 have won more games recently than Araguaina U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Araguaina U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina U20 Araguacema U20
Matches Played 15 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.54
Goals Conceded 1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Araguaina U20 vs Araguacema U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina U20 31 / 100
Araguacema U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina U20 Araguacema U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araguaina U20 scored in 80% of their last 15 outings.

Araguacema U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Araguaina U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina U20 VS Araguacema U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina U20

(Home)
15 Jun
Araguaina U20
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense U20
08 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
0 : 0
Araguaina U20
02 Jun
Araguaina U20
1 : 0
Bela Vista U20
25 May
Bela Vista U20
1 : 2
Araguaina U20
17 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Araguaina U20
Page 1 of 3

Araguacema U20

(Away)
20 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 2
Araguacema U20
13 Jun
Araguacema U20
0 : 2
Batalhao U20
06 Jun
Central Tocantinense U20
0 : 3
Araguacema U20
04 Jun
Araguacema U20
4 : 0
Bela Vista U20
30 May
Araguacema U20
0 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)