Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Araguaina play Capital FC in the Tocantinense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Araguaina averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Capital FC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Araguaina won 1, Capital FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Araguaina and 1.04 for Capital FC. This points to a Araguaina double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Araguaina picked up more points recently compared to Capital FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.04 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Araguaina | Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Araguaina Compare
Capital FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Araguaina scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Capital FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Araguaina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Capital FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics