Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014

Araguaina

2 - 0

Guarai SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Araguaina and Guarai SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Araguaina

Draws

Guarai SC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Araguaina come out ahead of Guarai SC on wins alone.
Model gives Araguaina a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Araguaina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%

Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araguaina	Guarai SC
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	10	7
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tocantinense

Araguaina vs Guarai SC

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Apr 25, 2015 Tocantinense

Guarai SC vs Araguaina

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Mar 24, 2015 Tocantinense

Araguaina vs Guarai SC

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Apr 21, 2014 Tocantinense

Guarai SC vs Araguaina

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Mar 8, 2014 Tocantinense

Araguaina vs Guarai SC

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100

Guarai SC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araguaina Guarai SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Araguaina's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Araguaina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Guarai SC

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gurupi	14	8	1	5	21:14	25
2	Tocantinopolis	14	7	3	4	30:19	24
3	Palmas	14	6	6	2	31:23	24
4	Interporto	14	6	4	4	18:11	22
5	Tocantins	14	5	4	5	23:21	19
6	Araguaina	14	5	4	5	18:21	19
7	Colinas	14	2	6	6	19:34	12
8	Guarai SC	14	1	4	9	11:28	7