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Araguaina vs Guarai SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

2 - 0
FT
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Araguaina and Guarai SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Araguaina
35%
Draws
45%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarai SC come out ahead of Araguaina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guarai SC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araguaina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 10%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Guarai SC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
3:1
Apr 25, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Araguaina
1:1
Mar 24, 2015 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
2:1
Apr 21, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Araguaina
1:2
Mar 8, 2014 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 10 / 100
Guarai SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Guarai SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Araguaina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Guarai SC
2.63 Goals Scored 3.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

Guarai SC

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 14 8 1 5 21:14 25
2 Tocantinopolis 14 7 3 4 30:19 24
3 Palmas 14 6 6 2 31:23 24
4 Interporto 14 6 4 4 18:11 22
5 Tocantins 14 5 4 5 23:21 19
6 Araguaina 14 5 4 5 18:21 19
7 Colinas 14 2 6 6 19:34 12
8 Guarai SC 14 1 4 9 11:28 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)