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Stadium Background

Araguaina vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

2 - 0
FT
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Junior A.
82' Event
Junior A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Araguaina
30%
Draws
41%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaina have won more games recently than Gurupi.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Araguaina taking it.
  • Regular Tocantinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 68%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Gurupi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Gurupi
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Araguaina
1:1
Feb 20, 2024 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Gurupi
2:1
May 26, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Araguaina
0:0
Apr 14, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Gurupi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araguaina Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gurupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 59 / 100
Gurupi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gurupi conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Araguaina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Gurupi
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)