Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araguaina vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estádio Mirandão, Araguaína
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Teixeira G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Operario MS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araguaina
6%
Draws
4%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Operario MS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario MS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 68%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Operario MS
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Araguaina vs Operario MS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araguaina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 95 / 100
Operario MS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Operario MS conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Araguaina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Operario MS's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Operario MS
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC522110:48
2Rio Branco ES52215:48
3Operario MS52218:108
4Araguaina52126:47
5Capital51316:76
6Primavera AC50236:122
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama55008:315
2Anapolis53029:39
3Atletico GO52125:57
4Porto Vitoria52127:87
5Tocantinopolis50322:53
6Cuiaba50142:91
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)