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Araguaina vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

1 - 2
FT
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between Araguaina and SD Sparta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Araguaina
35%
Draws
35%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Araguaina a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SD Sparta have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina SD Sparta
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 18 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs SD Sparta
1:2
Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Araguaina
1:0
Jun 2, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Araguaina
2:0
Apr 18, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs SD Sparta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 67 / 100
SD Sparta 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (40 games).

SD Sparta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Araguaina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 8

SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)