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Araguaina vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estádio Mirandão, Araguaína
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues G.
58'
Junior A.
82' Event
Henrique Soares L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Vila Nova FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araguaina
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC come out ahead of Araguaina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Araguaina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vila Nova FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vila Nova FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.71 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.71 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Araguaina vs Vila Nova FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araguaina Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.35

Vila Nova FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique Soares L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100
Vila Nova FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Vila Nova FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araguaina scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Vila Nova FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Araguaina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Vila Nova FC
2.71 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC
06 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
26 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC
20 Jun
Vila Nova FC
4 : 3
Nautico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC522110:48
2Rio Branco ES52215:48
3Operario MS52218:108
4Araguaina52126:47
5Capital51316:76
6Primavera AC50236:122
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama55008:315
2Anapolis53029:39
3Atletico GO52125:57
4Porto Vitoria52127:87
5Tocantinopolis50322:53
6Cuiaba50142:91
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)